
Today, July 15, 2026, the Bank of Canada has announced that it is holding its rate again for the sixth consecutive time at 2.25%, keeping the rate that it had first established on October 29, 2025.
The Bank of Canada has asserted that the economy has been showing signs of improvement with growth picking up and inflation set to ease gradually toward 2 percent. However, this optimistic view has overlooked persistent underlying weaknesses. Canada has experienced a technical recession with GDP contractions in late 2025 and early 2026 driven by weak business investment, trade uncertainties from US policy, slower population growth, and soft consumer sectors. Recent monthly GDP rebounds have largely reflected temporary oil and gas surges rather than broad strength, while the labour market has remained soft with unemployment near 6.5 percent, insufficient job creation, and struggling per capita GDP. Headline inflation has spiked to 3.2 percent in May, adding cost-of-living pressures, and forecasts for modest 0.7 percent growth in 2026 have signaled ongoing economic weakness rather than a robust recovery.
It has become very concerning to see the Bank of Canada use its position to support a political agenda over its impartial mandate. Case in point, the Bank of Canada has said, “Although the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement is now subject to annual reviews, more businesses report they are finding ways to navigate through the uncertainty.” This severely contradicts recent reporting by CTV News just days prior that “Companies no longer in the wait and see mode as experts predict manufacturing exodus from Canada.”

Juno News has also reported that Alberta has accounted for nearly 80 percent of all jobs created across Canada over the last year, which signals concern for Canada’s other provinces and casts doubt on the Bank of Canada’s statements about broad job growth.

As we have maintained since April 2025, the Canadian economy would gain significant stability from a robust trade agreement with its largest trading partner, provided the government can overcome its ineffective negotiation efforts.
For Canada, USMCA is not just another trade deal. It’s the foundation of our economic relationship with our largest, by far, trading partner. Predictable, rules-based access matters enormously when three-quarters of our exports go to one market. More negotiations and more uncertainty, even without collapse, still carry real costs in delayed investment, higher risk premiums, and lost opportunities.
As we had reported in our recent story, “The US decides not to renew the USMCA, triggering more uncertainty for Canada,” while it should have been a clean long-term deal, we now face managed but perpetual uncertainty. For Canada, that is far from benign.
In Humber Bay Shores, active inventory has risen sharply from 197 active listings this spring to over 249 now, signalling softening demand and potential downward pressure on prices in the coming months.
The best rates that we have seen so far:
3 year fixed at 3.99% (decreased from 4.09% in June 2026)
5 year variable at 3.55%
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is September 2, 2026.


E: LDALINDA@DALINDA.NET • TEL: 416-725-7170
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Palace Place, 1 Palace Pier Court, and Palace Pier, 2045 Lake Shore Boulevard West, in Humber Bay Shores.
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Luke Dalinda, Realtor. Royal LePage Real Estate Services Ltd., Brokerage.
View all current and past Palace Place listings for sale here.






























































